Summary of Properties for Linear Functions of a Random Variable
Let X be a random variable with mean and variance , and let a and b be any constant fixed numbers. Define the random variable Y as (a+bX) Then, the mean and variance of Y areExample: A contractor is interested in the total cost of a project on which he intends to bid. He estimates that materials will cost $25,000 and that his labor will be $900 per day. If the project takes X days to complete, the total labor cost will be 900X dollars., and the total cost of the project (in dollars) will be
C=25000+900X
The contractor forms subjective probabilities of likely completion times for the project as follows:
Table: Probability distribution for completion times
Completion time X (days)
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
Probability
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
a. Find the mean and variance for completion time X.
b. Find the mean, variance, and standard deviation for total cost C.
Solution:
a. The mean and variance for completion time X can be found as
The mean is
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